[Home Page]

[Chinese Home] [Lets Talk] [Chinese on Chinese] [Surf the Sites] [Family Album] [Follow the Light]

[Remembrance] [Doodling] [Guess What] [Light Side] [In Touch] [Words to Live By] [Private] [Tea House] [What's New]

[Old Red and Blue] Pui Ching Home Page

05/26/98

Chitchat # 14

Deep Impact Tidal Wave Height Estimate

Bob Chen

       It is interesting that Warren Li remembers all the numerical data in the movie. Although I'm not one of the uncles that he gave the assignment of checking out the height of the tidal wave; S.S. wants me to put in my two cents worth of comments. Here comes my analysis:

      I prefer simple and direct approaches instead of elegant but complex ones. One might say that I'm a true believer of "OCCAM'S RAZOR" (i.e., among all hypotheses consistent with the facts, choose the simplest). Firstly, the weight of the asteroid/comet, and its size are incompatible. The weight density of a one billion ton (2000LB X 109) sphere of 7 miles diameter has a r = 2000 X 109 / (4P /3)*(7X5280)3 = 0.0095 LB/ ft3. (Water is 62.4 LB/ft3). However, this is not fatal because one does not need the weight of the asteroid at all, the volume of the sphere is an important input. My estimate gives an upper bound of the tidal wave height. S.S.¡¦s suggestion will furnish a lower bound if the time dependent volume change during re-entry with realistic thermal ablation, drag coefficient change ...etc. are available a prior.

      In lieu of the missing inputs, the following assumptions are used: (1) The earth¡¦s surface is ¾ ocean. (2) The Atlantic is 1/3 of all oceans. (3) The average ocean depth is 2 miles. This is not unreasonable, remembering Snake King Lee's geography classes that Emden Deep is 20,000 ft. (4) The whole non-porous asteroid sinks on impact. From assumptions (1) through (3), the volume of Atlantic waters is as follows: VAtlantic = (1/3)X(3/4)X(4P /3)X (40023 -40003) = 100,581,240.9mi3. The total volume after impact is the sum of VAtlantic and VAsteroid , where VAsteroid =(4P /3)X73 = 1436.7550mi3. The total volume is Vtotal = VAtlantic + VAsteroid = 100,581,240.9 + 1436.7550 =100,582,677.7mi3 = Surface area of Atlantic X D R, where D R = tidal wave height in miles or ft.

      This gives D R = 100,582,677.7/4P X(4002)2X(3/4)X(1/3) = 1.9990mi = 10,554.8745ft. Obviously, it is much larger (8.4439 times, to be exact) than the 1250ft tidal wave in the flick!

      To be practical, all oceans are connected, and the surface area of Atlantic cannot be isolated from the rest. This makes the removal of the 1/3 factor admissible, or D R = 10554.8745/3 = 3,518.2915ft. This corrected height is a mere 2.8146 times the 1250ft from the movie. At this point, S.S.'s details can be invoked to knock down the effective asteroid volume just before the impact, and a smaller D R will result.

      The bottom line of the analysis is: The diameter of the asteroid is correct, and the height of the tidal wave is realistic. The one billion ton weight is orders of magnitude off. I hope the consultants of the movie (e.g., Shoemaker-Levy) were cited in vain, and didn't contribute to the numbers quoted therein. It would be a sad day for American Astronomy if they didn't catch such a light weight asteroid, or comet.

Up_ArrowB1F1.gif (883 bytes)


E-Mail


This Page hosted by Get your own Free Home Page